Roccella vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NOT
0 - 0
ROC
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
ROC
3 - 1
REG
22%
23%
55%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +4 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
AGR
1 - 1
ROC
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 2
PAL
64%
19%
18%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
ROC
62%
19%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GEL
2 - 0
SAR
44%
26%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
RAA
2 - 0
GEL
58%
24%
18%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GEL
0 - 3
DTO
49%
26%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
GEL
2 - 2
FIA
18%
23%
59%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GRO
0 - 2
GEL
18%
25%
57%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |