Roccella vs Gela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
46.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 0
ROC
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 0
USC
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
POM
3 - 1
ROC
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
TUR
0 - 2
ROC
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 2
DTO
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
GEL
2 - 0
REN
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
NFR
5 - 2
GEL
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GEL
0 - 0
PAL
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
USC
1 - 3
GEL
16%
19%
65%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GEL
0 - 2
FCI
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |