Roccella vs Igea Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
47.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 1
ROC
12%
18%
70%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 1
CAV
17%
22%
61%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +4 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 1
ROC
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
NFR
3 - 1
ROC
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 2
GEL
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
FCI
0 - 0
USC
84%
11%
5%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
DTO
0 - 2
FCI
16%
23%
61%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FCI
2 - 0
GRA
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SIC
0 - 4
FCI
49%
24%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
FCI
3 - 1
POM
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |