Roccella vs Cittanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
19.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ACI
3 - 1
ROC
32%
26%
43%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ROC
2 - 3
POR
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
GEL
4 - 0
ROC
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 3
ISO
78%
13%
9%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
ROC
0 - 8
CRO
7%
16%
77%
|
36 | 75 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CCI
1 - 0
MES
17%
21%
62%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
GEL
1 - 0
CCI
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CCI
0 - 2
ASD
33%
22%
45%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
CCI
1 - 2
USV
21%
22%
57%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |