Roccella vs As Sersale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CAV
2 - 3
ROC
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 0
SAR
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ROC
3 - 2
NFR
21%
21%
58%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +3 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GEL
2 - 1
ROC
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 2
GRA
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
As Sersale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
ASS
0 - 0
USC
23%
21%
56%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
NFR
4 - 1
ASS
90%
7%
3%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ASS
3 - 0
DTO
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
ASS
0 - 0
SIC
7%
16%
77%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 2
ASS
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |