Sp. Rocafort A vs Vilamarxant B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
70.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sp. Rocafort A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RAC
2 - 0
ROC
53%
20%
27%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 6
RAY
14%
18%
68%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
PAT
9 - 2
ROC
83%
11%
6%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
LLI
4 - 0
ROC
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 2
RIB
16%
19%
65%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vilamarxant B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 0
BEN
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BUG
2 - 1
VIL
55%
20%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
8 - 2
BEN
80%
13%
8%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
ELI
50%
22%
28%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
GOD
2 - 3
VIL
37%
22%
41%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |