Robbio vs Bastida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
63.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+116%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Robbio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BIA
1 - 1
ROB
38%
23%
38%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ROB
1 - 1
ATL
13%
19%
68%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LOM
2 - 1
ROB
84%
11%
5%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ROB
1 - 2
RIV
22%
22%
57%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CIS
1 - 0
ROB
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Bastida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
NOR
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
BAS
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
TOR
4 - 0
BAS
36%
24%
41%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
5 - 2
BIA
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
BAS
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |