RMIT vs Morwell Pegasus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
50.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RMIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ACI
4 - 0
RMI
62%
19%
19%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BAF
2 - 3
RMI
50%
21%
29%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
DSF
1 - 3
RMI
37%
22%
41%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Morwell Pegasus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
MSC
1 - 2
MPE
45%
22%
33%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MPE
5 - 1
LTU
58%
20%
22%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |