RM Castilla vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
RMC
3 - 2
PEG
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
ROB
0 - 1
RMC
31%
29%
40%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1990 |
RMC
1 - 0
CAM
77%
17%
7%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
COM
1 - 0
RMC
29%
29%
42%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1990 |
RMC
0 - 0
LUG
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
UPL
1 - 0
ROB
53%
25%
22%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
CAM
1 - 0
UPL
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
UPL
1 - 0
COM
51%
28%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
LUG
3 - 1
UPL
57%
24%
18%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1990 |
UPL
0 - 1
HIS
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |