RM Castilla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1979 |
MAL
2 - 1
RMC
56%
24%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
RMC
1 - 0
GDE
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
ALG
3 - 0
RMC
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
RMC
4 - 0
MUR
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
ELC
2 - 1
RMC
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1979 |
BET
1 - 0
RJA
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
RJA
2 - 2
ALM
42%
29%
30%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
CAS
4 - 2
RJA
59%
25%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
RJA
3 - 0
RCF
66%
23%
12%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
RJA
1 - 1
TER
55%
27%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |