Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 7-0
RM Castilla vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.8%
Win probability
3.73
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.6%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
7%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.8%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
5.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5.9%
2.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
RMC
1 - 0
ALA
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
SAB
1 - 4
RMC
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
DBN
0 - 2
RMC
22%
22%
56%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
RMC
2 - 0
BAR
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
GRA
2 - 2
RMC
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
CAR
5 - 1
ACF
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
TAL
2 - 0
CAR
55%
27%
18%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
CAR
2 - 0
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
CAR
1 - 1
ALC
64%
23%
14%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
LPA
1 - 1
CAR
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |