RM Castilla vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
PON
2 - 3
RMC
45%
30%
25%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1976 |
RMC
4 - 1
TRJ
80%
15%
5%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
PEG
2 - 0
RMC
64%
23%
13%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
RMC
2 - 1
CUL
59%
24%
17%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
TUD
2 - 0
RMC
50%
28%
22%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
TRJ
1 - 3
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1976 |
CAR
1 - 0
CUL
41%
30%
29%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
RUN
2 - 0
CAR
64%
24%
13%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
CAR
6 - 1
LON
71%
16%
13%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
MIR
2 - 0
CAR
73%
19%
8%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |