Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-1
RM Castilla vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
4.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1973 |
CAR
0 - 0
RMC
24%
25%
50%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
RMC
0 - 0
GDE
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
TUD
3 - 1
RMC
31%
31%
39%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1973 |
RMC
2 - 0
SAL
87%
10%
4%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
RMC
1 - 0
BAR
85%
12%
4%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1973 |
CAR
0 - 0
RMC
24%
25%
50%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
CAR
1 - 1
TUD
36%
28%
37%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1973 |
CAR
2 - 3
PEG
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
CAR
0 - 1
LOG
26%
28%
46%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | 0 |