RM Castilla vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1981 |
FCB
4 - 1
RMC
88%
9%
4%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
RMC
1 - 1
GDE
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1981 |
RMC
3 - 5
FCB
24%
24%
53%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
AGD
0 - 3
RMC
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
RMC
0 - 1
SAB
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1981 |
ATM
2 - 0
RAY
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
RAY
3 - 0
ATB
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1981 |
RAY
3 - 0
ATM
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
GDE
0 - 0
RAY
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
RAY
0 - 0
LEV
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |