RM Castilla vs AD Mérida analysis

RM Castilla AD Mérida
65 ELO 54
9.3% Tilt 5.4%
1447º General ELO ranking 2088º
54º Country ELO ranking 68º
ELO win probability
72.4%
RM Castilla
18.1%
Draw
9.5%
AD Mérida

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
RM Castilla
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.5%
Win probability
AD Mérida
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
RM Castilla
+18%
+12%
AD Mérida

Points and table prediction

RM Castilla
Their league position
AD Mérida
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
14º
54
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Racing Ferrol
75
75
100%
Alcorcón
74
74
100%
RM Castilla
69
69
100%
RC Deportivo
67
67
100%
Celta Fortuna
59
59
0%
Linares Deportivo
59
59
0%
Unionistas CF
56
56
100%
Córdoba CF
54
54
0%
AD Mérida
54
54
0%
Cultural Leonesa
10º
48
48
10º
100%
Fuenlabrada
11º
46
46
11º
100%
AD Ceuta FC
12º
45
45
12º
0%
San Fernando CD
13º
45
45
13º
0%
Rayo Majadahonda
14º
45
45
14º
0%
Algeciras CF
15º
44
44
15º
100%
UD Sanse
17º
43
43
16º
0%
CD Badajoz
16º
43
43
17º
0%
RB Linense
18º
42
42
18º
100%
Pontevedra
19º
36
36
19º
100%
CF Talavera
20º
33
33
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
RM Castilla
AD Mérida
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

RM Castilla
AD Mérida
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

RM Castilla
RM Castilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2023
DEP
RC Deportivo
1 - 1
RM Castilla
RMC
55%
24%
21%
65 70 5 0
05 Mar. 2023
RMC
RM Castilla
1 - 2
Rayo Majadahonda
MAJ
65%
21%
15%
66 57 9 -1
25 Feb. 2023
SAN
San Fernando CD
3 - 2
RM Castilla
RMC
19%
24%
57%
66 53 13 0
19 Feb. 2023
RMC
RM Castilla
2 - 0
Linares Deportivo
LIN
55%
23%
22%
65 61 4 +1
11 Feb. 2023
CCF
Córdoba CF
1 - 2
RM Castilla
RMC
48%
25%
28%
64 64 0 +1

Matches

AD Mérida
AD Mérida
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2023
MAD
AD Mérida
1 - 1
CF Talavera
TAL
43%
28%
29%
54 53 1 0
04 Mar. 2023
CDB
CD Badajoz
1 - 1
AD Mérida
MAD
50%
27%
23%
54 58 4 0
26 Feb. 2023
MAD
AD Mérida
0 - 3
Celta Fortuna
CEL
21%
27%
52%
55 64 9 -1
18 Feb. 2023
UNI
Unionistas CF
0 - 1
AD Mérida
MAD
54%
25%
21%
53 57 4 +2
12 Feb. 2023
MAD
AD Mérida
1 - 0
RB Linense
BAL
37%
30%
34%
53 58 5 0