Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 6-1
RM Castilla vs CD Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.4%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
3.3%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
RMC
4 - 0
ELC
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
ALG
1 - 0
RMC
32%
31%
37%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
RMC
2 - 1
TAL
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
RMC
2 - 3
CAS
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1983 |
TAL
1 - 2
RMC
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
PEG
4 - 2
MAN
51%
26%
23%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
MAN
2 - 0
AVI
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
ARA
2 - 2
MAN
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
MAN
3 - 0
CAR
73%
18%
10%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
CIE
3 - 2
MAN
38%
30%
33%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -2 |