Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-1
RM Castilla vs CD Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.9%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.1%
4-0
12%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
2.3%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
RMC
1 - 2
ELC
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
BUR
1 - 0
RMC
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1980 |
MAN
1 - 1
RMC
21%
27%
52%
|
72 | 37 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
RMC
4 - 1
RAC
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
REC
2 - 0
RMC
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
TAL
1 - 0
MAN
58%
25%
17%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
MAN
0 - 0
DAI
77%
15%
7%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1980 |
MAN
1 - 1
RMC
21%
27%
52%
|
37 | 72 | 35 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
MEX
0 - 0
MAN
50%
28%
23%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
MAN
6 - 0
CAR
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |