RM Castilla vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
ELC
2 - 1
RMC
51%
25%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
RMC
3 - 1
PON
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
LOR
2 - 0
RMC
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
RMC
1 - 3
VAD
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
XER
3 - 1
RMC
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
SLA
0 - 0
MAL
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
MAL
2 - 0
ELC
57%
24%
18%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
PON
2 - 2
MAL
24%
27%
50%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
MAL
4 - 0
LOR
62%
23%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
VAD
1 - 0
MAL
51%
25%
23%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |