RM Castilla vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CDT
1 - 0
RMC
30%
26%
43%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
RMC
1 - 2
ZAR
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FCB
2 - 0
RMC
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
RMC
0 - 1
MIR
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
HER
2 - 1
RMC
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LUG
3 - 0
UDL
34%
27%
40%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CDT
0 - 1
LUG
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 2
GIR
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 1
MIR
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
ZAR
0 - 1
LUG
73%
19%
9%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |