RM Castilla vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
CDO
1 - 2
RMC
17%
23%
60%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
RMC
1 - 2
VEC
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
RAY
1 - 0
RMC
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
RMC
4 - 0
ULP
69%
20%
12%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
RMC
2 - 1
DEP
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
LUG
3 - 1
DEP
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
FUE
1 - 1
LUG
28%
29%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
LUG
0 - 0
PPJ
56%
25%
20%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
RSI
2 - 1
LUG
22%
26%
53%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
LUG
2 - 2
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |