RM Castilla vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
SSR
0 - 2
RMC
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
RMC
0 - 3
PPJ
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2001 |
FUE
0 - 1
RMC
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
VEC
3 - 0
RMC
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
RMC
3 - 2
CAU
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
LUG
0 - 1
CDM
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
DEP
1 - 1
LUG
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
LUG
0 - 2
ZAM
37%
28%
36%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
SSR
3 - 0
LUG
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
LUG
1 - 0
PPJ
38%
28%
34%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |