RM Castilla vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
RMC
0 - 3
DEP
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
RCF
3 - 4
RMC
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
RMC
4 - 1
CAU
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
CDM
1 - 2
RMC
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
RMC
3 - 1
ROB
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
TAL
1 - 0
LUG
58%
24%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
LUG
3 - 1
ULP
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
SPB
1 - 0
LUG
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
LUG
1 - 2
MST
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
LEA
1 - 0
LUG
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |