RM Castilla vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
IMP
2 - 1
RMC
18%
24%
58%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
RMC
2 - 0
ALF
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
RMC
2 - 0
VEC
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 2
RMC
20%
26%
55%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
RMC
2 - 0
PPJ
77%
15%
7%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 1
ALC
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 1
LOR
35%
27%
37%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ULP
0 - 3
LOR
37%
29%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 2
IMP
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 0
ALF
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |