RM Castilla vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
EIB
1 - 3
RMC
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
RMC
2 - 3
VAD
27%
26%
47%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
SPO
1 - 1
RMC
65%
21%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
RMC
1 - 2
CDT
32%
29%
40%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
CIU
2 - 1
RMC
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 0
MAL
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
REC
2 - 1
LOR
67%
22%
12%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 0
GIM
37%
27%
35%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
ALB
1 - 0
LOR
72%
19%
9%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
LOR
0 - 1
MUR
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |