RM Castilla vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PON
2 - 0
RMC
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
RMC
2 - 1
GUA
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SAB
3 - 1
RMC
39%
26%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
XER
0 - 1
RMC
38%
26%
37%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
RMC
2 - 1
ALM
30%
24%
46%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
HER
0 - 2
ALM
29%
25%
46%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
FCB
1 - 0
HER
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
VIL
30%
28%
43%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 1
HER
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
HER
3 - 0
ALC
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |