RM Castilla vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
SAB
2 - 1
RMC
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1980 |
HER
4 - 1
RMC
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
RMC
2 - 1
GDE
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
RMC
2 - 0
LEV
72%
17%
10%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1980 |
RAC
0 - 0
RMC
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
HER
1 - 0
UDL
48%
27%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1980 |
HER
4 - 1
RMC
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
ATM
2 - 1
HER
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
SEV
2 - 1
HER
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1980 |
HER
2 - 1
TRJ
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |