RM Castilla vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 1
RMC
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
RMC
6 - 3
GUA
80%
13%
7%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
FUE
2 - 1
RMC
17%
25%
58%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
RMC
2 - 1
GET
87%
9%
4%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
UDS
4 - 0
RMC
21%
25%
54%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GER
2 - 2
MAJ
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CDE
2 - 0
GER
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
GER
2 - 0
ROD
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TAL
0 - 0
GER
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
GER
1 - 1
LEI
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |