Primera RFEF - Play Offs Ascenso Final
Global 4-4
RM Castilla vs Eldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
RMC
3 - 0
FCB
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FCB
4 - 2
RMC
40%
23%
37%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ALG
0 - 1
RMC
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
RMC
0 - 0
FUE
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CUL
1 - 0
RMC
21%
24%
55%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ELD
2 - 0
CEL
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CEL
3 - 2
ELD
53%
23%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 2
ELD
38%
30%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ELD
1 - 0
ATH
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
NUM
0 - 0
ELD
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |