RM Castilla vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
6.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CDT
0 - 1
RMC
18%
24%
59%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
RMC
2 - 1
LEG
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SSR
1 - 1
RMC
15%
23%
63%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
RMC
2 - 0
RVB
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CDT
3 - 1
RMC
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 1
MON
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
GET
1 - 1
CEL
61%
22%
18%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 4
COX
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 0
CEL
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 0
UBC
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |