RM Castilla vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
RMC
1 - 0
ART
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
CDO
0 - 1
RMC
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
RMC
0 - 0
ALC
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
LAN
1 - 1
RMC
38%
25%
36%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
RMC
4 - 0
PPJ
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
CDO
0 - 1
CEL
57%
25%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
CEL
1 - 0
LAN
40%
28%
33%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
UDF
1 - 1
CEL
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
CEL
2 - 0
UDL
19%
25%
55%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
VEC
5 - 2
CEL
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |