RM Castilla vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
AVI
0 - 3
RMC
24%
27%
49%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
RMC
1 - 1
UPL
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
RMC
3 - 0
LUG
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
PON
0 - 3
RMC
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
RMC
2 - 1
ALC
71%
17%
11%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
CEL
3 - 1
PON
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 0
CEL
54%
26%
20%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
COR
2 - 1
CEL
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
CEL
3 - 2
ALC
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
AVI
0 - 0
CEL
49%
27%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |