RM Castilla vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ARE
2 - 1
RMC
15%
24%
61%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
RMC
3 - 1
SES
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SDA
1 - 4
RMC
27%
26%
46%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
RMC
1 - 0
RUN
69%
19%
13%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
RSO
1 - 2
RMC
19%
26%
55%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CDT
0 - 2
MAJ
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CDE
2 - 2
CDT
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CDT
1 - 0
ROD
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
TAL
0 - 4
CDT
27%
26%
47%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CDT
2 - 1
LEI
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |