RM Castilla vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
MAJ
0 - 2
RMC
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
RMC
1 - 0
CFP
77%
16%
8%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
SSR
1 - 2
RMC
28%
27%
46%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
LUG
1 - 3
RMC
31%
28%
42%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
RMC
1 - 0
RIB
80%
13%
6%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
BUR
1 - 2
UBC
48%
29%
23%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
BUR
1 - 1
ALC
47%
29%
24%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
ALC
0 - 0
BUR
41%
30%
29%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
UBC
0 - 0
BUR
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
BUR
2 - 0
UDC
56%
27%
17%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |