RM Castilla vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
RMC
2 - 1
LEG
87%
8%
4%
|
66 | 33 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
MAL
1 - 1
RMC
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
RMC
1 - 0
ATB
70%
19%
12%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
LEG
1 - 1
RMC
24%
26%
50%
|
67 | 32 | 35 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
RMC
1 - 0
GRA
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
BUR
1 - 0
GDE
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
MLL
0 - 0
BUR
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
CUL
3 - 1
BUR
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
BUR
0 - 0
SEV
22%
22%
56%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
BUR
1 - 2
OVI
59%
24%
16%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |