Primera RFEF Promotion PlayOff . Semi-finals
Global 5-4
RM Castilla vs Barça Atlètic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FCB
4 - 2
RMC
40%
23%
37%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ALG
0 - 1
RMC
21%
25%
54%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
RMC
0 - 0
FUE
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CUL
1 - 0
RMC
21%
24%
55%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
RMC
0 - 3
CEU
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Barça Atlètic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FCB
4 - 2
RMC
40%
23%
37%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FCB
1 - 0
UDL
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
NUC
1 - 0
FCB
24%
27%
49%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FCB
0 - 2
INT
65%
21%
13%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ELD
2 - 2
FCB
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |