RM Castilla vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 0
RMC
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
RMC
5 - 1
CDT
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ULP
2 - 0
RMC
37%
26%
36%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
RMC
4 - 1
LAN
75%
15%
9%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
OVI
2 - 1
RMC
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 3
LEG
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ALC
0 - 0
ALC
23%
30%
47%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ALC
2 - 1
PUE
60%
23%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
CER
3 - 2
ALC
31%
29%
40%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 0
CDT
72%
18%
9%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |