RM Castilla vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 1
RMC
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
RMC
0 - 2
LOR
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
IMP
2 - 1
RMC
18%
24%
58%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
RMC
2 - 0
ALF
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
RMC
2 - 0
VEC
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ULP
0 - 0
ALC
39%
30%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 0
AGU
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 1
ALC
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ALC
1 - 1
IMP
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ALF
0 - 0
ALC
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |