RM Castilla vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
UDF
1 - 2
RMC
10%
20%
70%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
RMC
2 - 1
LAN
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 4
RMC
19%
23%
58%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
RMC
4 - 0
CDO
81%
14%
5%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
VEC
3 - 2
RMC
28%
25%
47%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 0
DEP
45%
27%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
FUE
1 - 1
ALC
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 1
PPJ
41%
28%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
RSI
3 - 2
ALC
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ALC
1 - 0
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |