RM Castilla vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
COR
1 - 0
RMC
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
RMC
0 - 1
ALC
68%
19%
14%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
AVI
0 - 0
RMC
23%
26%
51%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2002 |
RMC
1 - 2
CDO
68%
18%
13%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
MAR
1 - 0
RMC
24%
26%
51%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
ALC
1 - 1
PON
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
ALC
2 - 0
RIB
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
COR
4 - 2
ALC
43%
25%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
ALC
1 - 1
ALC
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
AVI
1 - 1
ALC
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |