RKVV Erp vs Marvilde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
7º
4º
28
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
65% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
94% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 18 |
14º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 10% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 90% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RKVV Erp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
TAC
3 - 0
ERP
42%
21%
37%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ERP
2 - 1
GEL
40%
21%
38%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
TZA
0 - 3
ERP
27%
21%
52%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ERP
0 - 1
SCK
84%
11%
6%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
EAV
1 - 2
ERP
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Marvilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SVM
1 - 1
FCB
16%
18%
66%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
DOS
2 - 3
SVM
62%
18%
19%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SVM
2 - 3
VOA
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
RKS
1 - 1
SVM
70%
17%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SVM
2 - 2
RKS
46%
21%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |