RKVV Erp vs Geldrop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
38.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
7º
4º
31
4º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
65% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
94% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 18 |
14º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RKVV Erp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
TZA
0 - 3
ERP
27%
21%
52%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ERP
0 - 1
SCK
84%
11%
6%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
EAV
1 - 2
ERP
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RKV
2 - 3
ERP
72%
15%
13%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ERP
1 - 2
FCB
41%
21%
38%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Geldrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GEL
2 - 2
FCB
54%
20%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
DOS
2 - 3
GEL
24%
21%
55%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GEL
1 - 3
VOA
94%
4%
1%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RKS
0 - 2
GEL
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GEL
4 - 1
RKS
81%
11%
8%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |