SITHOC vs VESTA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SITHOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SIT
2 - 1
HOL
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 2
SIT
49%
24%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 0
SIT
50%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2011 |
SIT
2 - 3
HUB
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
HOL
1 - 1
SIT
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
VESTA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
SVV
0 - 2
SUB
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
UND
0 - 1
SVV
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 2
SVV
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2011 |
SIT
2 - 1
SVV
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
HOL
1 - 0
SVV
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |