SITHOC vs VESTA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SITHOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
BAR
3 - 0
SIT
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
RBV
2 - 4
SIT
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
SIT
1 - 0
UND
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
VIC
0 - 0
SIT
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
SIT
5 - 2
SUB
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
VESTA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
SVV
2 - 3
DOM
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
SVV
2 - 0
UND
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
SUB
0 - 1
SVV
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
COL
0 - 0
SVV
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
SVV
2 - 0
RBV
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |