SITHOC vs Victory Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SITHOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
SIT
0 - 2
SVV
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SIT
2 - 3
UND
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
COL
1 - 3
SIT
20%
22%
58%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2008 |
DOM
2 - 3
SIT
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2007 |
SIT
1 - 2
BAR
52%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Victory Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
VIC
1 - 0
HOL
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
DOM
5 - 1
VIC
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
UND
2 - 0
VIC
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Jan. 2008 |
VIC
4 - 0
COL
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +2 |
| 19 Dec. 2007 |
VIC
0 - 0
SUB
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |