SITHOC vs Real Buena Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SITHOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2010 |
HUB
2 - 0
SIT
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2010 |
SVV
1 - 0
SIT
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2010 |
COL
1 - 1
SIT
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
SIT
3 - 1
VIC
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
UND
1 - 3
SIT
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Buena Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
RBV
3 - 1
SUB
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
DOM
1 - 0
RBV
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 0
RBV
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
RBV
0 - 4
SVV
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2009 |
RBV
0 - 1
HOL
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |