SITHOC vs Real Buena Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SITHOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2009 |
SIT
4 - 2
COL
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2009 |
SIT
2 - 1
CHM
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
SIT
1 - 0
VIC
45%
25%
31%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
SIT
0 - 3
HUB
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
DOM
2 - 1
SIT
64%
20%
17%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Real Buena Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
VIC
3 - 3
RBV
53%
24%
24%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SVV
1 - 0
RBV
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
RBV
2 - 0
COL
34%
24%
41%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
RBV
0 - 4
DOM
39%
25%
36%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
CHM
2 - 0
RBV
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |