SITHOC vs Centro Barber analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SITHOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SUB
1 - 0
SIT
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SIT
1 - 0
VIC
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SIT
0 - 0
HOL
60%
22%
19%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SIT
4 - 1
UND
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
DOM
3 - 0
SIT
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Centro Barber
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 4
DOM
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SVV
0 - 3
BAR
53%
25%
22%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
UND
2 - 0
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 4
SIT
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
BAR
4 - 0
VIC
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |