Sarto vs Geldrop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
42.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
14º
8º
31
4º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
65% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
94% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 18 |
14º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TZA
0 - 1
RKS
41%
22%
37%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RKS
2 - 1
SCK
82%
11%
6%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
EAV
1 - 1
RKS
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RKS
1 - 1
ERP
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 1
RKS
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Geldrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GEL
4 - 1
RKS
81%
11%
8%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
NEM
0 - 1
GEL
61%
19%
20%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GEL
2 - 2
SVM
89%
7%
4%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
TAC
2 - 2
GEL
48%
22%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
GEL
2 - 4
RKV
50%
21%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |