RKDEO vs Excelsior .20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
63.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RKDEO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
DEM
3 - 0
RKD
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SJC
6 - 0
RKD
89%
8%
4%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RKD
0 - 0
PFC
17%
21%
63%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
RKD
1 - 2
SCN
13%
20%
67%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
RKD
0 - 3
VOC
10%
18%
72%
|
14 | 40 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior .20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 2
UVS
23%
23%
54%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SCN
4 - 1
EXC
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
FCB
2 - 1
EXC
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SJC
2 - 0
EXC
74%
15%
12%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 2
MAG
24%
23%
53%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |