RKC Waalwijk vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
65.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
13º
18º
15º
56
2º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
91 | 91 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
84 | 84 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RKC Waalwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
RKC
2 - 2
EXC
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ZWO
1 - 2
RKC
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
RKC
0 - 1
GAE
30%
26%
45%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RKC
1 - 2
FEY
13%
19%
69%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
UTR
3 - 2
RKC
59%
22%
20%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NEC
1 - 2
AJA
20%
21%
58%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
4 - 3
AJA
35%
24%
41%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
5 - 0
VIT
69%
18%
14%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 2
AJA
11%
18%
71%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
0 - 2
BHA
21%
23%
56%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |